Monday, November 30, 2009

Mphasis ltd - Parag Research - Earns my two cents

Before you start reading this, please look into how IT companies can fail/cannot succeed

Top four threats

-  Dollar devalulation (how long these companies can they really hedge)
-  US Economy
-   Cloud computing & companies like salesforce.com
-   Competition from other countries and what happens if their currecy devalues


Obviously I am not up todate on what's going on Indian IT industry. Looks like Mphasis has good potential in the long run with strong parent like HP (PWC).  To really understand HP, one needs to understand the Big Four (used to by E&Y, Anderson/Accenture, KPMG, Deloitte). They are top tier consulting firms and strong market forces.

Good research by Parag. The more I read, the more I like them. I would hold my judgement on the buy and sell calls but definitely good research. Look at this report by Raunak. Great job

The story of Mphasis largely remains unchanged. Nevertheless, the company has reported a really good

quarter. Topline grew by 26% compared to Oct 08 and bottom line grew by 34% as compared to the same period. Since the previous year was just a seven month year, the annual numbers dont offer a sound basis of
comparison. Although the annual results have been appended. Ever since the acquisition by HP, there has been tremendous changes in the company in terms of aligning its cost structures. The operating margins when compared to last year's average show a difference of almost 10% , with current year's margin at 26%. This bout of profitability is also seen on account of new high value contracts which have come their way through generic sales growth as well as most of the contracts which have been gained due to the association with HP.

In terms of geographical segmentation 64% revenues is derived from the US, 20% from EU and APAC and
middle east contributes to 16% of revenues. The company added 771 employees this quarter, which is mainly on account of its acquisition of AIG's captive unit in October 09. The effect of the acquisition will only be apparent from Q1 of the forthcoming financial year. Total employee addition this year was 4,721 which takes the count to

Please read the rest of the report here

http://www.ppfas.com/pdf-docs/research/result-updates/mphasis-q4oct09-ppfas.pdf

Sunday, November 22, 2009

Interesting story of Levis and UCB

Are there some lessons to be learned for other brands? Can you imagine how these brands will be in 10-15 yrs with rising purchasing power?

http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/5237510.cms?prtpage=1

Friday, November 20, 2009

Love these cigar butts - Aditya Birla Chemicals

CMP 77.50

MCap.(Rs. in Cr.) : 183 P/E (x) : 3.3 EPS (Rs.) : 23.58


BV (Rs.) : 102.59 Div. Yield (%) : 1.9 FV (Rs.) : 10.00

Wonder why this chemical company is selling cheap??? especially with below numbers. I am sure Walter Schloss and Benjamin Graham would buy these
 
3 Yr CAGR Sales (%) : 22.37
3 Yr CAGR Profit (%) : 25.66
Promoter Shareholding (%) : 56.31
Net Profit Margin (%) : 22.55
Return on Equity (%) : 21.07
 
Need to further investigate....Interesting... Atleast paying some dividend. Hope this is not like Gwalior Chemicals.
 

Another Cigar butt selling less than BOOK VALUE - Dhanus Technologies Ltd

DHANUS TECH

SELLING FOR 50 CRORES. BOOK VALUE 143. NO RED FLAGS ON A HIGH LEVEL. OPERATING BUSINESS. GOOD YIELD

Dhanus Technologies Ltd. is a rapidly growing Communications Services Company. The company, incorporated in 1993, offers Telecom Services, is into Tele-services, IT/ ITES and Telematics. The company has a strong product development team specializing in Communication Technologies, Logistics & Unified Messaging.




The Company is headquartered in Chennai, India & has operations in New Delhi, as well as California, US.


http://www.dhanus.net/pdf/15th%20Annual%20Report%20-%202007-2008.pdf

Thursday, November 19, 2009

See Joel Green Blatt's video

http://www.valueinvestingcongress.com/downloads/p10/greenblatt/formula_investing_video.php